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The Man Who Bought Mars

 
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Gord Green
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 29, 2016 12:51 am    Post subject: The Man Who Bought Mars Reply with quote

"We now know the full extent of SpaceX founder and CEO Elon Musk's Mars colonization plan and his incredible Interplanetary Transport System. To be honest, it sounds insane.

As early as 2024, a group of Mars-bound interplanetary SpaceX astronauts will board a gigantic SpaceX spacecraft likely named "Heart of Gold" to rocket off to Mars, a place from which they may or may not ever return. Musk's hope, though, is that they stay on the barren red planet and build the infrastructure that will sustain future life. Musk methodically ticked off the details of his radical plan on Tuesday at a special presentation,



Musk methodically ticked off the details of his radical plan on Tuesday at a special presentation, carefully outlining each component, checkpoint and hurdle. The scale of the undertaking is almost beyond comprehension; the virtually insurmountable hurdles from the realm of science fiction."



Read this interesting article by Lance Ulanoff here---

http://mashable.com/2016/09/28/elon-musk-mars-plan-analysis/#dq6rljQ9Laqh

This is really going to happen. Musk has , so far, made inroads in every endeavor he has planned.

There are also videos of his presentation on Youtube and his vision of the colonizer ship is VERY sci-fi retro!

Check it out.


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Custer
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 29, 2016 7:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The "Heart of Gold" name would seem to be in honour of the Hitch-Hikers Guide to the Galaxy spaceship that Zaphod Beeblebrox, er, borrowed... not sure if Elon Musk's craft is powered by an Infinite Improbability Drive, though...
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Bud Brewster
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 29, 2016 11:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

________________________________

I hate to say it, but I just don't get the appeal of going to Mars, folks. To me, Mars is just the Moon with a lot of inclement weather. Or Utah, but without the highways, hotels, and National Parks.

Why go there? It's like learning Latin.

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Brent Gair
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 29, 2016 12:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bud Brewster wrote:
I hate to say it, but I just don't get the appeal of going to Mars, folks. To me, Mars is just the Moon with a lot of inclement weather. Or Utah, but without the highways, hotels, and National Parks.

Why go there? It's like learning Latin.

I'm curious about something, Bud.

When did you become an old man Smile?

Robert Browning:Ah, but a man's reach should exceed his grasp, Or what's a heaven for?

Lao Tsu: The journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step.

John F. Kennedy:We choose to go to moon and do the other things, not because they are easy but because they are hard.

Bud Brewster: Hey you kids, get off my lawn!

A guy I worked with once asked me why I played chess. It seemed so pointless to him. I explained it disciplined the mind and trained you in the skill of thinking ahead. People need to see the bigger picture. Engaging man in exploration and adventure is good for the human spirit. In fact, I would say it's not only good for the spirit but it's a fundamental component of our humanity. Man reasons, plans, explores and does all of those things that are the foundation of a future.

Once we stop making big plans and reaching beyond our grasp, we will join the ranks of the lower animals who also inhabit this planet.

I don't know if Musk will get us to Mars but I'm 100% on board with his ambitious dream.
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Bud Brewster
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 29, 2016 2:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

________________________________

Stirring words, Brent. Here, here. Bravo!

But why Mars?

What does it have that's worth the cost and the risk to human life? A journey to Mars is just a long trip with a disappointing destination.

I agree with you about "making big plans and reaching beyond our grasp", but we need to pick our goals wisely. We've romanticized and glorified Mars for centuries, and now that we know it's not even a nice place to visit (never mind living there!), why do we want to go there so badly?

The only reasons you offered for going to Mars were variations on George Mallory's less-than-brilliant reply to the question, "Why did you climb Mt. Everest?"

"Because it was there."

Admittedly it was a grand adventure, a personal challenge, and a great view from the top. I mean, this is a lot more appealing than Mars!



All I'm saying, Brent, is that Mars is a piss-poor goal. Let's build a space station instead! And a colony on the Moon. And send teams to Europa and Ganymede and Enceladus to see if there are oceans under the ice that have complex life forms. (Bacteria under the Martian soil is boring. Rolling Eyes)



I said it before and I'll say it again — going to Mars is like learning Latin. If you want to learn a second language, why learn a dead one?

Mars just doesn't seem like the best place to "boldly go . . . just because no man has been there before."




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~ The Space Children (1958)


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Brent Gair
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 29, 2016 6:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

In other words, Bud, you want to find a way to bore people to death rather than inspire them?

Space station? Yeah...kinda had enough of that 40+ years ago with Skylab. By the time Salyut and Mir came along, nobody cared. ISS? Nice but this is all past the point of stirring the imagination.

Colony on the moon. OK. But, like a space station, continuing to refine 40 and 50 year undertakings won't move the public. People were already tiring of the moon by the time of Apollo 12.

If this was 1971, you and I would be on the same page.

The moons of Jupiter and Saturn? I could easily get onboard with that. But those likely aren't places where humanity can establish itself. Man can sustain himself on Mars. Some years ago, I read Robert Zubrin's book THE CASE FOR MARS (which I can't seem to find now) and he demonstrated a number of technologies such as synthesizing rocket fuel from the Martian atmosphere. With the effort and technology, Mars can sustain mankind.

I would say that visits to those moons you suggest would be even more like a visit to Everest...places to explore but not a place to establish a new human outpost. As such, a visit to Enceladus (although I'd support it) would be less impactful to humanity than the establishment of a permanent human expansion to Mars.
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Gord Green
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 29, 2016 11:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well Bud ------

"Gallia est omnis divisa in partes tres, quarum unam incolunt Belgae, aliam Aquitani, tertiam qui ipsorum lingua Celtae, nostra Galli appellantur. Hi omnes lingua, institutis, legibus inter se differunt. Gallos ab Aquitanis Garumna flumen, a Belgis Matrona et Sequana dividit."

I learned Latin (As well as Classical Greek) because I wanted a "classical" education and felt if I could master them I could attempt anything else.

But to the subject ----

I think Brent is right. Musk's plan at least is a move forward into the Solar System and all those future explorations need a starting point and Mars is it.

"The Case For Mars" is also an excellent video.
(Available on Youtube - here-The Mars Underground-

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tcTZvNLL0-w

Reaction fuel CAN be manufactured on Mars as well as water and oxygen and be much more cost effective than pushing it up the Earth's gravity well.

Besides, Mars has always been in the psyche of man since he first looked to the heavens.
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Bud Brewster
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Brent Gair wrote:
In other words, Bud, you want to find a way to bore people to death rather than inspire them?

The moons of Jupiter and Saturn? I could easily get onboard with that. But those likely aren't places where humanity can establish itself.


Gord Green wrote:
I think Brent is right. Musk's plan at least is a move forward into the Solar System and all those future explorations need a starting point and Mars is it.

Well, guys, you're obviously in agreement about this, and the consensus is that the main goal would be to "inspire" mankind by establishing colonies on the only planet that offers an environment where (with a lot of help), people could live.

But I seriously question your assumption that people in general would be "inspired" by a small, struggling colony on Mars who occupants spend their time mostly with basic survival and the usual science experiments that would be incomprehensible to John Q. Public. And since Mr. and Mrs. Public's hard-earned tax dollars (billions of them) are what's keeping this small group of folks alive, I don't think they're going to feel all that inspired by the project.

The only people who really care about this kind of thing are scientists and the "science enthusiasts". According to Brent, missions to interesting places like the moons of Jupiter and Saturn are just "a way to bore people to death rather than inspire them."

Brent, you were right when you said, "People were already tiring of the moon by the time of Apollo 12." Yes, the public was bored with the Moon, but scientist and astronauts were still eager to carry on man's expansion into space.

You made this puzzling statement. ". . . a visit to Enceladus (although I'd support it) would be less impactful to humanity than the establishment of a permanent human expansion to Mars."

As I pointed out, people in general have shown very little interest in the space program. So, your insistence that a colony would get any significant percentage of the population all revved up about the space program is completely unrealistic in view of the way they've acted over the last fifty years. As you stated, people got tired of the Moon by the time Apollo 11 returned.

What makes you think they'll be any more excited about an expensive colony on Mars?

You also said, " . . . continuing to refine 40 and 50 year undertakings won't move the public."

You're dead right about that, too. In fact, the "public" wasn't moved by these things when they were new! That's why Congress pulled the plug on NASA's long-range plans. But a colony on Mars is just another way to have astronauts walk around in spacesuits on another heavenly body. What's new about that?

As I've said several times, Mars is just the Moon with bad weather. The average person will question why our government is risking lives and wasting money on a colony which benefits the folks back here on Earth in no way whatsoever, nor is it likely to offer many "inspiring" new developments on a regular basis.

I mean, what inspirational reports are these brave folks going to send to Earth to keep the public interested?

"Today the the Martian colonists reported that it got up to 70??, and they all wanted to go outside in short sleeve shirts so badly they were almost willing to die to do it!"

In short, there nothing we can do that will inspire everybody. Most folks just don't care about the space program. But there are ways to inspire the intelligent people who care about this kind of thing, and what those people want is bold exploration, new discoveries, and technological advancements.

Missions to truly interesting places like the moons of Jupiter and Saturn hold the promise of exciting discoveries, like bizarre life forms in the oceans under the icy surface. The development of an advanced spacecraft that can carry a sizable crew on a long mission to a destination worth going to will get the geeks excited, and the mission itself will make headlines once they find something remarkable, like whale-sized creatures swimming around under the ice on Europa.

Mars, however, holds the promise that somebody might find a rock that isn't reddish brown like all the rest. And it might even have bacteria growing under it.

Wow. Call the Science Channel. Rolling Eyes

As for this statement —


Gord Green wrote:
Besides, Mars has always been in the psyche of man since he first looked to the heavens.

— do we really want to go to Mars just because we used to think it was a fascinating place . . . and now we don't want to admit what a colossal disappointment it turned out to be?

Meanwhile, the truly interesting destinations which might offer astounding discoveries are neglected because they aren't good places to set up housekeeping, just so we can boast about the way we're "expanding".

But what, precisely, are really expanding?

Our knowledge? Yes, to some degree. Our celestial boundaries? Well, no, not that much. We did that with the Moon landings, and the public started yawning before we launched the second mission. Going out a little farther isn't going to impress the average Joe.

And remember, this discussion is about what will inspire mankind — not what he need to do in our methodical plan to advance our space program.

So, is there anything that actually will get a significant portion of the population interested? Actually yes, there is.

Real space exploration that results in the discovery of new environments with unknown life forms will inspire the science-minded folks without half trying. And such missions might produce headlines far more interesting to the general public than the dull daily reports about what the Mars colonists are doing.

And just for the record, the only reason space stations have been so dull thus far is because we did them so poorly! A real space station with artificial gravity, a large (and mostly permanent) crew, and advanced laboratories which are equipped with Hubble-type telescopes right on the station, would be an exciting place to live and work. Young people all over the world would indeed be inspired to earn the right to be part of that crew someday!

And on a clear night, they could stand in their backyards and watch them pass overheard. That sounds inspirational to me. It doesn"t to you? Seriously?






Ditto for a large and ambitious lunar colony that takes advantage of the natural gravity (to prevent bone and muscle loss), not to mention the lack of atmosphere for more of those really powerful telescopes like the Hubble.





Compare all that to a small, expensive, hazard-filled Martian colony, located so far from Earth that just getting there and back takes two years of your life and a butt-load of tax dollars nobody will want to spend just to provide a ride for a few people who seem a little crazy for wanting to go there.





Here's something else you might not have considered.

The very real possibility exists that a global disaster will occur someday, such as an asteroid impact that threatens the existence of mankind. However, a large, self-sustaining space station (or better yet, several of them), would survive the catastrophe and allow the eventual repopulation of the Earth.

The same would be true if we had a few large, self-sufficient lunar colonies. They're proximity to Earth makes frequent travel between these colonies and Earth as easy as we saw in 2001: A Space Odyssey. The colonies could be funded in part by mining operations — something that's NOT true of your overpriced Martian colonies.

Like the big space stations, a sizable population on the Moon offers opportunities for people to join these communities and share the adventure of living and working in space.

On Mars, however, there wouldn't be a whole lot of opportunities for newcomers. And, in fact, the temptation to be part of a small, distant Martian colony just isn't as appealing as living on a gigantic, hi-tech space station or a well-designed and "futuristic" lunar colony.

In short, you're expecting a small group of people who live on a distant planet under harsh conditions, doing work that isn't interesting to (or even understood by) the average person, to "inspire" the human race.

Forgive me, gentlemen, but there are much better ways to inspire the public than a small, struggling Martian colony. Your entire argument is based on the mistaken assumption that its existence would be an exciting idea to the average person. And the colony wouldn't have to do anything except just . . . be there.

I'm sorry, but that simply isn't "inspiring". Sad

Heck, even I'm not inspired by the idea, and I love this kind of stuff!
Shocked
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Gord Green
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 30, 2016 6:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

In 1492 AD the VAST majority of Europeans were only interested in where their next meal would come from .

Exploration and scientific and social advances were the farthest things on their lists. Yet....There were a small few, who for their own reasons (mostly greed!) spurred the exploration of the world and the use of its' resources.

I understand your point of view, and the validity of your points.

But I just darned can't go along with it! I guess we all have our own visions.
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Bud Brewster
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 30, 2016 7:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

________________________________

We both want the same thing. I'm just offering a more realistic way to get it. A colony on Mars is dull and expensive.

Let's do something more exciting! Very Happy

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Is there no man on Earth who has the wisdom and innocence of a child?
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MetroPolly
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 30, 2016 7:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Don't worry, Bud, I'm behind you. I'm of the opinion that before we ship people to Mars (although that might be a great way to deal with certain politicians), we should work on putting our own house in order first.
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Bud Brewster
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 30, 2016 10:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

________________________________

Thanks, Polly! Very Happy

However, waiting until the world is a better place before we take on challenges like the ones being discussed above is like saying, "I''ll start going to the gym as soon as I fell more energetic."

Going to the gym is what you do to make yourself fell more energetic.

Taking on challenges like the ones discussed above is the way to improve our society. It's the solution to the problem — not a reward for solving the problem first.

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Gord Green
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 30, 2016 11:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

But Bud, no one is saying we shouldn't have those things too!

We want them all — A cis-lunar space station, a LaGrange point station and observatory, extended exploration of the outer planets, and in time — far beyond.

But governments have been unable to sustain those dreams.

Maybe it takes ONE crazy billionaire to "make it so."

It took a couple hundred years to go from mud whattle huts at the New Amsterdam colony to the skyscrapers of New York!

Per aspera ad astra

Yes, that's Latin. It means "Through Hard work to the stars!"

Have hope — Dream BIG!
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Bud Brewster
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

________________________________

Well, that's the best suggestion yet!

Through difficulties, to the stars!

If we have vast resources and don't need to prioritize the projects, a Mars colony can certainly be included in an ambitious space program. But if we do have to pick the most valuable projects to fund, I think I've shown that the least effective way to inspire a general interest in space exploration is a colony on Mars.

Space stations and lunar colonies provide a way for large numbers of people to actually become involved in the space program, instead of just supporting it with their tax dollars while they wonder what they're getting for their money.

And both lunar colonies and space stations have ways to benefit the people here on Earth. For example, lunar colonies can include mining operations, and space stations can serve as repair centers for our vast array of communications satellites.

In fact, the space stations themselves would be equipped to take over the work of many satellites, with maintenance crews constantly there to keep the equipment operational.

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Is there no man on Earth who has the wisdom and innocence of a child?
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Gord Green
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 13, 2016 6:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think the final words on the subject were said best----In 1936.

Raymond Passworthy:
Oh, God, is there ever to be any age of happiness? Is there never to be any rest?

Oswald Cabal:
Rest enough for the individual man - too much, and too soon - and we call it death. But for Man, no rest and no ending. He must go on, conquest beyond conquest. First this little planet with its winds and ways, and then all the laws of mind and matter that restrain him. Then the planets about him and at last out across immensity to the stars. And when he has conquered all the deeps of space and all the mysteries of time, still he will be beginning.

Raymond Passworthy:
But... we're such little creatures. Poor humanity's so fragile, so weak. Little... little animals.

Oswald Cabal:
Little animals. If we're no more than animals, we must snatch each little scrap of happiness and live and suffer and pass, mattering no more than all the other animals do or have done. Is it this? Or that? All the universe? Or nothingness? Which shall it be, Passworthy? Which shall it be?
. . .
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